Vaprus Pärnu II vs FC Flora Tallin III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
40.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
SJL
2 - 3
PAR
88%
8%
4%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 3
FLO
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
SJL
4 - 0
PAR
89%
8%
4%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
PAR
4 - 1
JKP
90%
7%
3%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 3
PAI
5%
11%
84%
|
20 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
FC Flora Tallin III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
FLO
1 - 1
PAI
7%
13%
80%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
FLO
4 - 4
KEI
8%
12%
80%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 3
FLO
45%
22%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
FLO
3 - 6
KUR
22%
19%
58%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
FLO
2 - 0
KOS
91%
7%
3%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |