Estonia Third Division West / South Round 16

Vaprus Pärnu II vs Tabasalu Ulasabat analysis

Vaprus Pärnu II Tabasalu Ulasabat
49 ELO 31
20.7% Tilt 20.4%
35109º General ELO ranking 7590º
263º Country ELO ranking 45º
ELO win probability
75.8%
Vaprus Pärnu II
14.5%
Draw
9.7%
Tabasalu Ulasabat

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
Vaprus Pärnu II
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.7%
Win probability
Tabasalu Ulasabat
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vaprus Pärnu II
-8%
+97%
Tabasalu Ulasabat

ELO progression

Vaprus Pärnu II
Tabasalu Ulasabat
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vaprus Pärnu II
Vaprus Pärnu II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 2024
FLO
FC Flora Tallin III
1 - 1
Vaprus Pärnu II
PAR
22%
20%
58%
49 39 10 0
16 Jun. 2024
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu II
5 - 1
Raplamaa
RAP
84%
11%
5%
49 29 20 0
13 Jun. 2024
SJL
Saue JK Laagri
0 - 4
Vaprus Pärnu II
PAR
14%
19%
68%
48 34 14 +1
01 Jun. 2024
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu II
4 - 0
Harju JK Laagri II
HLA
53%
21%
26%
47 45 2 +1
26 May. 2024
NOU
Nõmme United II
5 - 2
Vaprus Pärnu II
PAR
29%
22%
49%
49 40 9 -2

Matches

Tabasalu Ulasabat
Tabasalu Ulasabat
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Aug. 2024
TAU
Tabasalu Ulasabat
2 - 0
Saku Sporting
SSP
30%
20%
50%
30 37 7 0
07 Aug. 2024
MAA
Maardu FC
4 - 0
Tabasalu Ulasabat
TAU
91%
6%
3%
30 71 41 0
03 Aug. 2024
KEI
Keila JK
4 - 2
Tabasalu Ulasabat
TAU
56%
19%
25%
31 30 1 -1
30 Jul. 2024
TAU
Tabasalu Ulasabat
0 - 0
Keila JK
KEI
40%
20%
40%
31 30 1 0
27 Jul. 2024
VFC
Vastseliina FC
1 - 5
Tabasalu Ulasabat
TAU
17%
18%
65%
31 14 17 0