Parndorf II vs Forchtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parndorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
NEU
1 - 1
PAR
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
PAR
1 - 0
SCO
58%
22%
20%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
JEN
2 - 2
PAR
26%
24%
50%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
PAR
2 - 1
STM
62%
21%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
PUR
1 - 1
PAR
58%
22%
21%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Forchtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
FOR
3 - 0
UFC
68%
19%
13%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
KLI
4 - 4
FOR
77%
15%
8%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 0
SVS
64%
20%
16%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
FOR
0 - 1
OBE
17%
23%
61%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
NEU
1 - 2
FOR
83%
12%
5%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | +1 |