Parnahyba vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
54.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
FPI
4 - 0
PAR
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
PAR
3 - 1
FLA
56%
24%
20%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
PIC
2 - 1
PAR
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 1
TIR
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
RIV
3 - 2
PAR
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
4DE
1 - 1
PIC
53%
25%
23%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
4DE
3 - 4
ALT
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
4DE
2 - 1
TIR
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
FPI
0 - 0
4DE
40%
23%
37%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
4DE
0 - 0
CUI
10%
21%
70%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |