Parma vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
PAL
1 - 1
PAR
59%
23%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
PAR
3 - 2
LIV
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
SAM
3 - 0
PAR
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 3
ROM
22%
24%
54%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
UDI
2 - 1
PAR
53%
25%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
SIE
1 - 1
CAT
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
SIE
0 - 0
REG
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
FIO
3 - 0
SIE
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
SIE
3 - 0
EMP
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
CAG
1 - 0
SIE
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |