Parma vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
30.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2005 |
CSK
3 - 0
PAR
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
PAR
6 - 4
LIV
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2005 |
PAR
0 - 0
CSK
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
ACM
3 - 0
PAR
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 1
SAM
59%
23%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2005 |
ROM
2 - 2
BRE
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
SAM
2 - 1
ROM
37%
27%
37%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
ROM
0 - 2
SIE
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
ROM
1 - 2
REG
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
UDI
3 - 3
ROM
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |