Serie A Round 19

Parma vs Palermo FC analysis

Parma Palermo FC
83 ELO 80
1.2% Tilt 2.7%
86º General ELO ranking 296º
15º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
54.1%
Parma
24.4%
Draw
21.5%
Palermo FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
Parma
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.6%
Win probability
Palermo FC
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Parma
+8%
+6%
Palermo FC

ELO progression

Parma
Palermo FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Parma
Parma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Dec. 2012
BOL
Bologna
1 - 2
Parma
PAR
44%
25%
31%
83 81 2 0
16 Dec. 2012
PAR
Parma
4 - 1
Cagliari
CAG
56%
24%
20%
82 78 4 +1
12 Dec. 2012
PAR
Parma
1 - 1
Catania
CAT
50%
25%
26%
82 82 0 0
08 Dec. 2012
ATL
Atalanta
2 - 1
Parma
PAR
40%
26%
34%
83 80 3 -1
02 Dec. 2012
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 1
Parma
PAR
55%
24%
22%
83 86 3 0

Matches

Palermo FC
Palermo FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Dec. 2012
PAL
Palermo FC
0 - 3
Fiorentina
FIO
47%
25%
28%
80 85 5 0
15 Dec. 2012
UDI
Udinese
1 - 1
Palermo FC
PAL
60%
22%
18%
80 85 5 0
09 Dec. 2012
PAL
Palermo FC
0 - 1
Juventus
JUV
26%
26%
49%
80 91 11 0
02 Dec. 2012
INT
Inter
1 - 0
Palermo FC
PAL
75%
16%
9%
81 88 7 -1
27 Nov. 2012
PAL
Palermo FC
1 - 2
Hellas Verona
VER
71%
17%
12%
81 75 6 0