Parma vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
INT
1 - 1
PAR
47%
25%
28%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
PAR
0 - 2
REG
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
NAP
2 - 2
PAR
25%
27%
48%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
PAR
0 - 2
VIC
72%
17%
11%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2000 |
INT
0 - 0
PAR
45%
26%
29%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
LEC
3 - 1
VIC
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
LEC
4 - 2
VER
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
BRE
2 - 2
LEC
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
LEC
1 - 4
JUV
24%
27%
49%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
ACM
4 - 1
LEC
77%
14%
8%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |