Parma vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
MOD
2 - 2
PAR
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
CAG
2 - 0
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
PAR
0 - 2
NOV
46%
27%
28%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
VNZ
1 - 0
PAR
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
PAR
0 - 3
ACP
64%
19%
18%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
ACM
3 - 1
LEC
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
LEC
0 - 3
BAR
51%
24%
26%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
TRI
2 - 0
LEC
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
LEC
0 - 0
NOV
45%
25%
31%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
PAL
0 - 0
LEC
68%
19%
14%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |