Parma vs Ajax analysis


89	ELO	88
-16%	Tilt	-9.9%
86º	General ELO ranking	104º
16º	Country ELO ranking	4º
ELO win probability

41.4%

Parma

27.2%

Draw

31.5%

Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

41.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%

27.2%

Draw

0-0

8.7%

1-1

12.9%

2-2

4.8%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

0

27.2%

31.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Parma

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
13 Mar. 1994	PAR 4 - 1 INT 40% 28% 32%	89	89	0
06 Mar. 1994	REG 2 - 0 PAR 23% 29% 48%	89	78	11
03 Mar. 1994	AJA 0 - 0 PAR 58% 23% 19%	89	88	1
27 Feb. 1994	PAR 2 - 1 USC 63% 24% 14%	89	80	9
23 Feb. 1994	PAR 0 - 1 SAM 42% 29% 29%	89	89	0

Matches

Ajax

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
13 Mar. 1994	VVV 0 - 1 AJA 11% 20% 68%	88	62	26
06 Mar. 1994	AJA 3 - 2 BVO 93% 5% 2%	88	62	26
03 Mar. 1994	AJA 0 - 0 PAR 58% 23% 19%	88	89	1
20 Feb. 1994	AJA 3 - 0 UTR 79% 14% 7%	88	72	16
13 Feb. 1994	SPA 0 - 1 AJA 21% 23% 57%	88	69	19