Parma vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 2
SAM
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 1
CAG
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
VER
3 - 1
PAR
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 0
FIO
30%
27%
43%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2014 |
NAP
2 - 0
PAR
75%
15%
10%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CES
2 - 3
TOR
26%
28%
47%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CAG
2 - 1
CES
65%
21%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
CES
1 - 4
NAP
14%
23%
63%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
SAS
1 - 1
CES
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CES
1 - 4
FIO
18%
26%
56%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |