PSG vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
PSG
5 - 2
STR
91%
7%
2%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
RMA
3 - 1
PSG
62%
19%
19%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
TFC
0 - 1
PSG
6%
14%
80%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
SOC
1 - 4
PSG
7%
14%
79%
|
91 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
LIL
0 - 3
PSG
9%
16%
76%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
SPB
1 - 0
MAR
35%
25%
41%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
GIR
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 0
SPB
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
ASS
2 - 2
MAR
22%
24%
54%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
BOU
0 - 9
MAR
17%
23%
60%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |