PSG vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1991 |
CAE
2 - 0
PSG
45%
29%
26%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1991 |
PSG
0 - 1
MAR
34%
28%
37%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
LYO
0 - 0
PSG
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
PSG
0 - 2
NIC
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1991 |
BRE
0 - 0
PSG
44%
28%
28%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1991 |
MON
2 - 0
MET
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
MET
0 - 0
CAN
56%
26%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
ASS
2 - 1
MET
41%
29%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1991 |
MET
2 - 0
NAN
45%
28%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1991 |
MET
2 - 1
TFC
53%
26%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |