PSG vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 2
PSG
19%
24%
57%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 0
TFC
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
PSG
5 - 1
ANG
82%
13%
5%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 1
TFC
79%
14%
7%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
TFC
0 - 1
PSG
15%
22%
63%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 0
REI
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NIC
2 - 1
LOR
46%
25%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
USB
1 - 3
LOR
17%
21%
62%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 2
MON
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2016 |
GIR
2 - 0
LOR
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |