PSG vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2011 |
GIR
1 - 0
PSG
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
LIL
1 - 0
PSG
57%
22%
22%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
PSG
2 - 2
ASN
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
PSG
32%
27%
41%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
PSG
3 - 1
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2011 |
LIL
1 - 0
SOC
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
LIL
1 - 0
PSG
57%
22%
22%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
ASS
1 - 2
LIL
26%
26%
48%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
ASN
0 - 1
LIL
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
LIL
5 - 0
ARL
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |