PSG vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1993 |
MAR
1 - 0
PSG
70%
19%
12%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1993 |
PSG
1 - 0
SOC
67%
21%
12%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1993 |
STR
2 - 2
PSG
38%
28%
34%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1993 |
PSG
2 - 1
LIL
68%
21%
12%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1993 |
GIR
1 - 0
PSG
40%
29%
31%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1993 |
CAE
1 - 0
LEN
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1993 |
FCM
4 - 1
CAE
22%
27%
51%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1993 |
CAE
1 - 0
AUX
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 1993 |
LYO
2 - 0
CAE
47%
27%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 1993 |
CAE
1 - 1
MET
57%
24%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |