PSG vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
59%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
PSG
2 - 3
NIC
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LYO
1 - 4
PSG
29%
22%
49%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
PSG
3 - 1
LEN
61%
21%
18%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
TFC
1 - 1
PSG
18%
20%
62%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PSG
0 - 0
LOR
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 4
BVB
20%
21%
59%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
BVB
2 - 2
HEI
79%
13%
8%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
RTV
1 - 1
BVB
10%
16%
74%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BVB
1 - 0
KOL
74%
15%
10%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 6
BVB
3%
10%
87%
|
91 | 43 | 48 | 0 |