Parham vs Willikies analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
-86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
EGF
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
3 - 1
PBU
57%
22%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 2
ALL
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
SAP
0 - 5
PAR
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
PAR
6 - 0
EGF
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Willikies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 2
SEA
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 2
WIL
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
WIL
0 - 3
ALL
47%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
HOP
2 - 1
WIL
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
WIL
0 - 4
ORO
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |