Parets vs FE Grama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
63.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
GUI
3 - 1
PAR
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 3
MAN
20%
22%
58%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 1
TON
41%
24%
36%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
GIR
3 - 0
PAR
81%
13%
6%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 0
VIC
16%
22%
62%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
FE Grama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
GRA
3 - 1
TON
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
GIR
1 - 0
GRA
64%
21%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
GRA
1 - 0
VIC
58%
22%
21%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
0 - 1
GRA
36%
25%
39%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
GRA
1 - 0
UEL
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |