Parets vs Begur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
ARG
3 - 1
PAR
60%
21%
19%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
TOS
37%
25%
38%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
4 - 1
MON
37%
23%
40%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 0
PAR
71%
18%
12%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
CGI
44%
25%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Begur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
BEG
1 - 1
MON
21%
20%
59%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MAN
8 - 1
BEG
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BEG
0 - 1
CGI
19%
22%
59%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BLA
3 - 0
BEG
73%
15%
12%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
BEG
3 - 2
15%
18%
67%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |