USC Paredes vs Vitória SC B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
11º
8º
12
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 0
CAN
43%
30%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
5 - 1
PAR
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 0
PAR
71%
21%
8%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 0
SAO
41%
29%
31%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
PAR
27%
26%
47%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória SC B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
VSC
0 - 1
SAN
32%
24%
45%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 0
VSC
60%
20%
20%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FEL
3 - 0
VSC
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VSC
1 - 2
VIL
20%
23%
57%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VSC
0 - 2
ANA
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |