USC Paredes vs Vitória SC B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+103%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
11º
8º
12
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 0
CAN
43%
30%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
5 - 1
PAR
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 0
PAR
71%
21%
8%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 0
SAO
41%
29%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
PAR
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória SC B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
VSC
0 - 1
SAN
32%
24%
45%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 0
VSC
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FEL
3 - 0
VSC
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VSC
1 - 2
VIL
20%
23%
57%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VSC
0 - 2
ANA
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |