Paraná vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
41.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
BRA
3 - 0
PAR
40%
27%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 1
GUA
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
ICA
3 - 0
PAR
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 1
POR
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 0
PAR
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 1
NAU
16%
20%
64%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
NAU
3 - 2
BAH
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
AMF
1 - 2
NAU
30%
26%
43%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
NAU
2 - 1
ASA
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 1
SAN
74%
17%
10%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |