Paraná vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 4
PAR
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 0
PAR
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 1
CHA
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
BOA
3 - 2
PAR
30%
29%
42%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAL
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ICA
1 - 2
CHA
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ICA
2 - 1
PAY
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 2
ICA
46%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
ABC
1 - 0
ICA
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ICA
1 - 0
BOA
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |