Paraná vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
80.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.4%
0-3
13.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
CIA
2 - 0
PAR
65%
22%
14%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
IND
2 - 1
PAR
39%
27%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
PAR
0 - 0
GRE
10%
19%
71%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
RIO
0 - 1
PAR
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAS
22%
24%
54%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
COT
1 - 1
OPE
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
AFC
0 - 2
COT
7%
16%
77%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
COT
4 - 0
RIO
85%
12%
4%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CIA
4 - 1
COT
9%
17%
74%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
COT
4 - 0
CAB
87%
11%
3%
|
82 | 43 | 39 | 0 |