Paraná vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
DUQ
0 - 0
PAR
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
VIT
25%
28%
48%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
ICA
3 - 1
PAR
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
NAU
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
GOI
23%
26%
51%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
POR
2 - 0
ASA
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ASA
2 - 1
ICA
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
ASA
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ASA
1 - 1
GRÊ
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ASA
3 - 1
CRI
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |