Paraná vs AC Paranavaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 2
CIA
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
ROM
3 - 1
PAR
21%
22%
57%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
COT
22%
24%
54%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 0
PAR
16%
22%
61%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 3
JMA
62%
22%
15%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ACP
1 - 2
JMA
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
CIA
1 - 0
ACP
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ACP
3 - 1
ROM
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
COT
3 - 1
ACP
81%
14%
6%
|
48 | 78 | 30 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
ACP
2 - 1
CCR
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |