Paraíso EC vs Tocantins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraíso EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 2
ARA
45%
25%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 0
PAR
51%
25%
24%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
INT
3 - 1
PAR
67%
19%
14%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 2
GUR
44%
25%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
TOC
2 - 0
PAR
55%
24%
21%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
TOC
2 - 1
INT
36%
26%
39%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
ARA
0 - 2
TOC
42%
25%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
GUR
2 - 1
TOC
53%
23%
25%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
TOC
2 - 1
PAL
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
TOC
3 - 3
CAP
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |