Paraibano Quarter-finals
Global 0-2
Paraíba SC vs CSP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
45.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraíba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CSP
2 - 0
PAR
45%
25%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
PAR
4 - 0
ECP
53%
22%
25%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
TRE
0 - 0
PAR
56%
23%
20%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 0
CSP
25%
23%
52%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 1
PAR
40%
24%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CSP
2 - 0
PAR
45%
25%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
CSP
18%
20%
62%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CSP
0 - 0
SOU
40%
27%
34%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 0
CSP
25%
23%
52%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
AUT
1 - 1
CSP
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |