Paragominas vs Aguia de Maraba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paragominas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
IND
1 - 0
PAR
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 1
REM
18%
21%
61%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
PAR
37%
24%
39%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
AGU
3 - 2
PAR
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 1
FRA
53%
21%
26%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
AGU
1 - 0
CAS
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
PAY
1 - 1
AGU
75%
17%
8%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
PAY
1 - 0
AGU
75%
17%
8%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 2
PAY
18%
23%
59%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
PIN
0 - 2
AGU
11%
17%
72%
|
45 | 13 | 32 | 0 |