Paradise vs Mount Rich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+142%
-91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paradise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 0
QPR
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
JOH
1 - 0
PAR
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
JOH
1 - 0
PAR
28%
23%
50%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
PAR
5 - 1
EAG
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +16 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
FCC
1 - 2
PAR
49%
21%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mount Rich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
MRI
1 - 2
HAR
21%
19%
60%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
QPR
0 - 1
MRI
72%
15%
13%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
MRI
1 - 1
GRE
48%
21%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
JOH
3 - 0
MRI
51%
21%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
MRI
0 - 1
QPR
49%
21%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |