Paradela vs Sporting Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
7.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paradela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
ANT
43%
22%
35%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 3
PAR
23%
20%
57%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
FER
29%
22%
49%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
QUI
1 - 3
PAR
57%
21%
22%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 1
PAL
16%
21%
64%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SLU
0 - 3
BEC
7%
13%
81%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ANT
3 - 2
SLU
75%
15%
10%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SLU
0 - 2
CHA
47%
23%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
FER
3 - 0
SLU
73%
16%
11%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SLU
2 - 2
QUI
20%
21%
59%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |