Paradela vs Corgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paradela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FER
2 - 2
PAR
45%
23%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 0
CAR
73%
15%
12%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SLU
1 - 3
PAR
34%
23%
43%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
BEC
32%
22%
46%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 0
OUR
38%
23%
40%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Corgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
COR
1 - 3
GUN
10%
17%
73%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
COR
2 - 2
FER
12%
18%
70%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
COR
49%
21%
30%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
COR
1 - 1
SLU
26%
22%
53%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
OUR
3 - 0
COR
66%
18%
16%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |