Paradas B. vs Moron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
42.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paradas B.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ANT
2 - 1
PAR
79%
15%
7%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 1
ASJ
40%
26%
35%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
CAB
2 - 1
PAR
54%
24%
22%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 0
PIL
48%
24%
28%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ARH
4 - 1
PAR
63%
22%
16%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
UDM
2 - 4
ASJ
59%
23%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
UDM
2 - 2
YEY
48%
26%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
PUE
1 - 2
UDM
37%
28%
36%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
UDM
2 - 1
SAN
72%
18%
11%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BRE
1 - 3
UDM
40%
27%
34%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |