Paracatu vs Paranoá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paracatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CEI
3 - 0
PAR
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAR
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 4
GAM
20%
22%
58%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
LUZ
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
PAR
3 - 1
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Paranoá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 2
DOM
19%
21%
60%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
BFC
2 - 2
PAR
8%
13%
79%
|
39 | 11 | 28 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
FOR
41%
22%
37%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
CEI
4 - 1
PAR
61%
22%
18%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
BRA
3 - 0
PAR
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |