Paracatu vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
73.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paracatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
CAP
0 - 2
PAR
47%
23%
31%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 2
CFZ
43%
23%
33%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
LUZ
0 - 0
PAR
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 2
BRA
9%
18%
73%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
PAR
3 - 1
SAN
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
BRA
1 - 0
CAP
86%
10%
4%
|
69 | 30 | 39 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
CFZ
0 - 6
BRA
10%
18%
73%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
BRA
2 - 1
GAM
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
PPE
3 - 1
BRA
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
BRA
0 - 2
FFL
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |