Paracatu vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
73.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paracatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
PAR
3 - 1
SAN
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
GAM
5 - 0
PAR
86%
10%
4%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
GUA
2 - 3
PAR
62%
20%
19%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 1
LUZ
23%
22%
54%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
BRA
2 - 0
PAR
85%
11%
4%
|
31 | 66 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
GUA
2 - 2
BRA
10%
18%
73%
|
67 | 34 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
BRA
4 - 0
SAN
87%
10%
3%
|
67 | 25 | 42 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
LUZ
2 - 3
BRA
16%
21%
63%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
BRA
4 - 2
SER
69%
18%
13%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
GAM
2 - 2
BRA
44%
24%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |