Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda. Final
Global 2-2
PAOK vs Valerenga IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
VIF
1 - 2
PAO
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
PAO
1 - 0
LAR
59%
25%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
PAN
4 - 1
PAO
56%
25%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
AEK
3 - 1
PAO
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
PAO
0 - 1
AEK
48%
26%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
STR
3 - 0
VIF
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
VIF
1 - 2
PAO
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
VIF
0 - 3
ODD
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2009 |
TRO
2 - 0
VIF
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2009 |
VIF
3 - 1
MJO
71%
19%
11%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |