Conference League qualifiers Playoffs. Final
Global 3-1
PAOK vs HNK Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
PAO
2 - 0
BOH
72%
18%
11%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
BOH
2 - 1
PAO
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
FEY
1 - 2
PAO
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
HER
1 - 2
PAO
32%
27%
42%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 2
PAO
32%
28%
40%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
OSI
1 - 0
RIJ
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
RIJ
4 - 1
HIB
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
HIB
1 - 1
RIJ
36%
24%
40%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
DZG
3 - 3
RIJ
46%
24%
31%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
RIJ
1 - 0
GZI
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |