UCL Qualifying 3rd Round Final
Global 2-3
PAOK vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
46.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 1
PAO
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
PAO
1 - 1
APO
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
TWE
0 - 2
PAO
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
STB
4 - 3
PAO
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
BRU
0 - 2
PAO
66%
20%
15%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 1
PAO
64%
21%
16%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
BEZ
0 - 2
AJA
13%
22%
65%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
AJA
37%
26%
37%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 2
KRS
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
BOU
2 - 2
AJA
5%
14%
81%
|
86 | 13 | 73 | 0 |