Panevėžys II vs Kauno Žalgiris II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
16º
14º
18
5º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 78 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 62 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 62 |
3º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 61 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 53 |
5º
|
39.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 53 |
6º
|
53% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 38 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 37 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 35 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 31 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 31 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 27 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 27 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 25 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 23 |
16º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
44% | 55.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
23.5% | 19.5% |
|
Relegation
|
32.5% | 25% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panevėžys II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
BFA
2 - 2
PAN
48%
23%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
PAN
2 - 0
FKE
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
ATM
1 - 4
PAN
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 3
NEV
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
FKT
6 - 0
PAN
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
FKK
2 - 0
FHL
55%
22%
22%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 0
LIE
68%
18%
13%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
BFA
2 - 0
FKK
53%
24%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 0
FKE
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
ATM
1 - 0
FKK
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |