Panevėžys II vs Atmosfera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
45.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
16º
14º
25
5º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 78 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 62 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 62 |
3º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 61 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 53 |
5º
|
39.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 53 |
6º
|
53% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 38 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 37 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 35 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 31 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 31 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 27 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 27 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 25 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 23 |
16º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
44% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
23.5% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
32.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Panevėžys II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
NEV
0 - 1
PAN
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 2
FKT
15%
19%
66%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
PAN
2 - 5
NEP
9%
17%
74%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
BAB
4 - 2
PAN
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
PAN
2 - 1
BEN
17%
23%
60%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Atmosfera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
ATM
2 - 2
FHL
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 3
ATM
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
BFA
1 - 0
ATM
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
ATM
5 - 0
FKE
43%
24%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
ATM
0 - 1
LIE
68%
18%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |