Paloma Hamburg vs Vorwärts-Wacker 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
31.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
4º
14º
5º
3
2º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
6 | 82 |
1º
|
79% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 66 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 65 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 60 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 59 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 58 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 57 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 54 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 52 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 51 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 48 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 42 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 41 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 34 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 30 |
15º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 27 |
16º
|
22% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 20 |
17º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 16 |
18º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paloma Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
VHG
3 - 3
PAL
29%
23%
48%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
PAL
0 - 3
NIE
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
PAL
2 - 3
VOW
58%
21%
22%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
ATB
1 - 4
PAL
23%
23%
54%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
PAL
4 - 1
THA
77%
14%
9%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
VOW
2 - 5
HAL
85%
10%
5%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
OTT
1 - 6
VOW
54%
21%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
PAL
2 - 3
VOW
58%
21%
22%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
VOW
5 - 3
SUD
40%
22%
38%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SAS
7 - 3
VOW
37%
22%
41%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |