Palmese vs FC Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
PAL
2 - 0
ACI
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
LOC
2 - 1
PAL
27%
23%
51%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 0
TUR
27%
25%
47%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
CCI
3 - 3
PAL
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
PAL
3 - 2
MAR
35%
26%
40%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
CIT
2 - 0
LOC
48%
22%
30%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CIT
2 - 1
USC
36%
23%
41%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
FCI
0 - 1
CIT
35%
27%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
CIT
2 - 1
LOC
56%
20%
23%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
TUR
6 - 0
CIT
79%
14%
7%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |