Palmeiras vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 1
PAL
11%
21%
68%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAO
87%
10%
3%
|
89 | 52 | 37 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SCI
3 - 0
PAL
41%
26%
33%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 1
AMF
71%
19%
11%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CUI
1 - 1
PAL
15%
25%
60%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
FER
1 - 2
SAO
9%
19%
72%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 0
ITU
75%
17%
8%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
GOI
0 - 4
SAO
25%
25%
50%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 1
SCI
48%
27%
25%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FLU
3 - 1
SAO
49%
24%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |