Paulista A1 Semi-finals

Global 2-4

Palmeiras vs Santos FC analysis

Palmeiras Santos FC
84 ELO 84
2.9% Tilt 5.1%
134º General ELO ranking 121º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
51.9%
Palmeiras
25%
Draw
23.1%
Santos FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
Palmeiras
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.1%
Win probability
Santos FC
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Palmeiras
+13%
-5%
Santos FC

ELO progression

Palmeiras
Santos FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Palmeiras
Palmeiras
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2009
PAL
Palmeiras
1 - 1
Sport Recife
SPO
57%
24%
19%
84 82 2 0
11 Apr. 2009
SAN
Santos FC
2 - 1
Palmeiras
PAL
43%
27%
30%
84 84 0 0
09 Apr. 2009
SPO
Sport Recife
0 - 2
Palmeiras
PAL
45%
26%
30%
84 82 2 0
05 Apr. 2009
PAL
Palmeiras
2 - 1
Botafogo SP
BOT
81%
14%
6%
84 59 25 0
01 Apr. 2009
OES
Oeste
1 - 1
Palmeiras
PAL
11%
18%
72%
84 57 27 0

Matches

Santos FC
Santos FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Apr. 2009
SAN
Santos FC
2 - 1
Palmeiras
PAL
43%
27%
30%
84 84 0 0
09 Apr. 2009
CSA
CSA
0 - 0
Santos FC
SAN
9%
19%
72%
84 43 41 0
05 Apr. 2009
PPE
Ponte Preta
2 - 3
Santos FC
SAN
33%
26%
41%
84 70 14 0
02 Apr. 2009
SAN
Santos FC
1 - 0
Portuguesa
POR
67%
20%
13%
84 74 10 0
28 Mar. 2009
GRÊ
Grêmio Barueri
0 - 0
Santos FC
SAN
28%
26%
46%
84 67 17 0