Palmeiras vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
10.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
FFL
1 - 0
PAL
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2002 |
PPE
2 - 0
PAL
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
PAL
1 - 2
BAH
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
SCI
3 - 2
PAL
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
PAL
2 - 2
GAM
83%
11%
6%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
PAY
4 - 3
PPE
27%
27%
47%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2002 |
PAY
1 - 1
COT
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
CRZ
3 - 1
PAY
76%
16%
9%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
PAY
2 - 0
VAS
16%
22%
62%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
GUA
2 - 0
PAY
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |