Copa do Brasil . Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Palmeiras vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FFL
1 - 2
PAL
23%
26%
51%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 0
CRZ
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
AMF
0 - 2
PAL
20%
25%
55%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 3
PAL
25%
26%
49%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 1
PAL
40%
27%
34%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
GRE
56%
24%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
ATP
53%
26%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 1
GRE
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CRZ
1 - 0
GRE
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 1
PAL
40%
27%
34%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |