Copa do Brasil . Last 16
Global 3-1
Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 1
BRA
68%
19%
13%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
PAL
4 - 1
GRE
65%
21%
15%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
GOI
0 - 5
PAL
21%
25%
53%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
BSC
0 - 2
PAL
18%
24%
58%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PAL
2 - 1
COR
65%
21%
14%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 0
FOR
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 0
SAO
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
COR
1 - 1
FOR
42%
27%
32%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
FOR
6 - 1
EST
79%
14%
8%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FOR
4 - 2
FLU
35%
26%
38%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |