Copa do Brasil . 1/16
Global 5-0
Palmeiras vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
17.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.8%
3%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
PAL
2 - 0
SAO
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
PAL
1 - 4
SAO
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 1
PAL
18%
24%
58%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
FLA
0 - 1
PAL
10%
19%
71%
|
83 | 43 | 40 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 3
PAL
28%
25%
47%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
FLA
0 - 1
PAL
10%
19%
71%
|
43 | 83 | 40 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
TRE
2 - 1
FLA
49%
26%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 1
ALE
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 1
FER
31%
26%
42%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
FER
3 - 0
FLA
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |