Liga Brasileña Sub 17 Quarter-finals
Global 6-4
Palmeiras U17 vs Fluminense U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palmeiras U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 2
PAL
30%
23%
47%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 3
SPA
76%
14%
10%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
BAH
3 - 4
PAL
10%
16%
75%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 3
ATH
71%
16%
12%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 2
PAL
7%
14%
79%
|
58 | 25 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 2
PAL
30%
23%
47%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
FLU
1 - 1
AME
80%
13%
7%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLU
18%
22%
60%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 1
COR
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 3
FLU
24%
23%
52%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |